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Advanced Trading Statistics

Advanced statistics test whether apparent performance is stable, unusually dependent on extreme observations, serially related, or too uncertain for a confident conclusion.

September 10, 20269 min read

How to read these metrics

Use these metrics after the basic return, outcome and drawdown picture is clear. Advanced statistics add context; they do not rescue a weak or poorly sampled trading record.

Reports applies the selected account or portfolio, date range, timezone and supported filters before requesting values from Analytics v2. An unavailable value is not zero: it means the selected data cannot support a reliable result.

Return distribution

Shape, persistence, and extremes in canonical periodic returns.

Geometric mean daily return

Live

Geometric mean daily return is the constant compounded return equivalent to the observed periodic returns.

Formula or calculation
Geometric mean of (1 + each eligible periodic return) − 1.
Why it is useful
Reflects compounding and is less misleading than an arithmetic average for multi-period growth.
Interpretation note
Requires sufficient account equity or periodic-return history. Some equity metrics are unavailable for portfolio scope or when trade-level filters would make the result inconsistent.

Geometric mean monthly return

Live

Geometric mean monthly return is the constant compounded return equivalent to the observed periodic returns.

Formula or calculation
Geometric mean of (1 + each eligible periodic return) − 1.
Why it is useful
Reflects compounding and is less misleading than an arithmetic average for multi-period growth.
Interpretation note
Requires sufficient account equity or periodic-return history. Some equity metrics are unavailable for portfolio scope or when trade-level filters would make the result inconsistent.

Daily return standard deviation

Live

Daily return standard deviation summarizes shape, persistence, and extremes in canonical periodic returns for the selected account, period, and filters.

Formula or calculation
Calculated from eligible observations using the versioned TraderWaves analytics definition for this metric.
Why it is useful
Adds context when assessing shape, persistence, and extremes in canonical periodic returns.
Interpretation note
Requires sufficient account equity or periodic-return history. Some equity metrics are unavailable for portfolio scope or when trade-level filters would make the result inconsistent.

Monthly return standard deviation

Live

Monthly return standard deviation summarizes shape, persistence, and extremes in canonical periodic returns for the selected account, period, and filters.

Formula or calculation
Calculated from eligible observations using the versioned TraderWaves analytics definition for this metric.
Why it is useful
Adds context when assessing shape, persistence, and extremes in canonical periodic returns.
Interpretation note
Requires sufficient account equity or periodic-return history. Some equity metrics are unavailable for portfolio scope or when trade-level filters would make the result inconsistent.

Gain-to-pain ratio

Live

Total positive periodic return relative to the magnitude of all negative periodic returns.

Formula or calculation
Sum of positive returns ÷ absolute sum of negative returns.
Why it is useful
Shows how much gain was produced for every unit of observed return pain.
Interpretation note
The value can be unavailable when its denominator is zero or the eligible sample is too small. Compare the same account, period, timezone and filters.

Gain-to-loss ratio

Live

Gain-to-loss ratio summarizes shape, persistence, and extremes in canonical periodic returns for the selected account, period, and filters.

Formula or calculation
Calculated from eligible observations using the versioned TraderWaves analytics definition for this metric.
Why it is useful
Adds context when assessing shape, persistence, and extremes in canonical periodic returns.
Interpretation note
The value can be unavailable when its denominator is zero or the eligible sample is too small. Compare the same account, period, timezone and filters.

Common sense ratio

Live

A combined measure of daily return efficiency and return-tail asymmetry.

Formula or calculation
Daily return profit factor × daily return tail ratio, using the same canonical flow-adjusted return series.
Why it is useful
Rewards strategies that combine efficient aggregate gains with a favourable return distribution.
Interpretation note
The value can be unavailable when its denominator is zero or the eligible sample is too small. Compare the same account, period, timezone and filters.

CPC index

Live

A composite of profit factor, win rate, and payoff ratio.

Formula or calculation
Net trade profit factor × decisive-trade win rate (decimal) × net trade payoff ratio.
Why it is useful
Tests whether hit rate, payoff size, and aggregate profitability support one another.
Interpretation note
Calculated only from eligible imported observations in the selected account, period and filters; missing source data or an insufficient sample can make it unavailable.

Outlier win ratio

Live

Outlier win ratio describes unusually extreme returns beyond the approved distribution threshold.

Formula or calculation
Classify returns using the configured tail quantile, then count them or compare their mean with ordinary wins or losses.
Why it is useful
Shows whether a small number of exceptional outcomes dominate the strategy’s results.
Interpretation note
The value can be unavailable when its denominator is zero or the eligible sample is too small. Compare the same account, period, timezone and filters.

Outlier loss ratio

Live

Outlier loss ratio describes unusually extreme returns beyond the approved distribution threshold.

Formula or calculation
Classify returns using the configured tail quantile, then count them or compare their mean with ordinary wins or losses.
Why it is useful
Shows whether a small number of exceptional outcomes dominate the strategy’s results.
Interpretation note
The value can be unavailable when its denominator is zero or the eligible sample is too small. Compare the same account, period, timezone and filters.

Positive return outliers

Live

Positive return outliers describes unusually extreme returns beyond the approved distribution threshold.

Formula or calculation
Classify returns using the configured tail quantile, then count them or compare their mean with ordinary wins or losses.
Why it is useful
Shows whether a small number of exceptional outcomes dominate the strategy’s results.
Interpretation note
Requires sufficient account equity or periodic-return history. Some equity metrics are unavailable for portfolio scope or when trade-level filters would make the result inconsistent.

Negative return outliers

Live

Negative return outliers describes unusually extreme returns beyond the approved distribution threshold.

Formula or calculation
Classify returns using the configured tail quantile, then count them or compare their mean with ordinary wins or losses.
Why it is useful
Shows whether a small number of exceptional outcomes dominate the strategy’s results.
Interpretation note
Requires sufficient account equity or periodic-return history. Some equity metrics are unavailable for portfolio scope or when trade-level filters would make the result inconsistent.

Return autocorrelation

Live

The relationship between each periodic return and the return immediately before it.

Formula or calculation
Lag-one correlation of the canonical periodic return series.
Why it is useful
Reveals persistence or reversal patterns and warns when ordinary Sharpe assumptions may be optimistic.
Interpretation note
Requires sufficient account equity or periodic-return history. Some equity metrics are unavailable for portfolio scope or when trade-level filters would make the result inconsistent.

Equity curve stability

Live

Equity curve stability summarizes shape, persistence, and extremes in canonical periodic returns for the selected account, period, and filters.

Formula or calculation
Calculated from eligible observations using the versioned TraderWaves analytics definition for this metric.
Why it is useful
Adds context when assessing shape, persistence, and extremes in canonical periodic returns.
Interpretation note
Requires sufficient account equity or periodic-return history. Some equity metrics are unavailable for portfolio scope or when trade-level filters would make the result inconsistent.

Equity curve R-squared

Live

How closely cumulative log equity follows a straight trend through time.

Formula or calculation
Coefficient of determination from the approved linear regression of cumulative log value on time.
Why it is useful
A higher value indicates smoother, more consistently trending account growth.
Interpretation note
Requires sufficient account equity or periodic-return history. Some equity metrics are unavailable for portfolio scope or when trade-level filters would make the result inconsistent.

Advanced return-to-risk

Alternative measures of return efficiency and benchmark performance.

Trade-return consistency ratio

Live

The mean per-trade percentage return relative to variation between trade returns.

Formula or calculation
Mean per-trade percentage return ÷ sample deviation of per-trade percentage returns.
Why it is useful
Preserves the useful legacy trade-grain measure without mislabelling it as a conventional annualised Sharpe ratio.
Interpretation note
Requires sufficient account equity or periodic-return history. Some equity metrics are unavailable for portfolio scope or when trade-level filters would make the result inconsistent.

Autocorrelation-adjusted Sharpe ratio

Live

Autocorrelation-adjusted Sharpe ratio adjusts the ordinary Sharpe estimate for serial dependence in returns.

Formula or calculation
Canonical Sharpe ratio divided by the versioned autocorrelation penalty derived from return lags.
Why it is useful
Reduces overstatement when returns are clustered or not independent through time.
Interpretation note
The value can be unavailable when its denominator is zero or the eligible sample is too small. Compare the same account, period, timezone and filters.

Autocorrelation-adjusted Sortino ratio

Live

Autocorrelation-adjusted Sortino ratio adjusts the ordinary Sortino estimate for serial dependence in returns.

Formula or calculation
Canonical Sortino ratio divided by the versioned autocorrelation penalty derived from return lags.
Why it is useful
Provides a more conservative downside-efficiency estimate when returns are serially related.
Interpretation note
The value can be unavailable when its denominator is zero or the eligible sample is too small. Compare the same account, period, timezone and filters.

Probabilistic Sharpe ratio

Live

The estimated probability that the account’s true daily Sharpe ratio is greater than zero.

Formula or calculation
Normal CDF of the observed daily Sharpe adjusted for sample length, bias-corrected skewness, and bias-corrected kurtosis; minimum 30 daily returns.
Why it is useful
Distinguishes an apparently positive Sharpe from one supported by enough observations and realistic return-shape assumptions.
Interpretation note
The value can be unavailable when its denominator is zero or the eligible sample is too small. Compare the same account, period, timezone and filters.

Burke ratio

Live

Annualised return relative to the combined magnitude of all equity drawdown episodes.

Formula or calculation
Annualised flow-adjusted return ÷ square root of the sum of squared maximum percentage depths for each drawdown episode.
Why it is useful
Penalises repeated drawdowns while giving deeper episodes greater weight.
Interpretation note
The value can be unavailable when its denominator is zero or the eligible sample is too small. Compare the same account, period, timezone and filters.

Modified Burke ratio

Live

Annualised return relative to the root-mean-square depth of equity drawdown episodes.

Formula or calculation
Annualised flow-adjusted return ÷ square root of the mean squared maximum percentage drawdown depths.
Why it is useful
Makes the Burke measure more comparable across samples of different lengths.
Interpretation note
The value can be unavailable when its denominator is zero or the eligible sample is too small. Compare the same account, period, timezone and filters.

Pain index

Live

The average depth of all percentage drawdowns through time.

Formula or calculation
Mean absolute percentage drawdown from the running peak.
Why it is useful
Captures the day-to-day burden of drawdowns rather than only the single deepest loss.
Interpretation note
Calculated only from eligible imported observations in the selected account, period and filters; missing source data or an insufficient sample can make it unavailable.

Pain ratio

Live

Annualised excess return relative to average drawdown depth.

Formula or calculation
Annualised excess return ÷ Pain Index.
Why it is useful
Shows how much return was earned for the typical drawdown pain experienced.
Interpretation note
The value can be unavailable when its denominator is zero or the eligible sample is too small. Compare the same account, period, timezone and filters.

Ulcer performance index

Live

Annualised excess return relative to the Ulcer Index.

Formula or calculation
Annualised excess return ÷ Ulcer Index.
Why it is useful
Rewards return achieved with shallow and infrequent drawdowns; it is closely related to the Martin ratio.
Interpretation note
Calculated only from eligible imported observations in the selected account, period and filters; missing source data or an insufficient sample can make it unavailable.

Information ratio

Coming Soon

Active return earned per unit of deviation from the selected benchmark.

Formula or calculation
Not currently calculated. The formula will be published after the required data and method are governed.
Why it is useful
Listed in Reports so the planned analysis area is visible without presenting an unavailable result as live.
Interpretation note
Coming Soon: a governed benchmark or market-context data source has not been configured.

Treynor ratio

Coming Soon

Excess return earned per unit of benchmark beta risk.

Formula or calculation
Not currently calculated. The formula will be published after the required data and method are governed.
Why it is useful
Listed in Reports so the planned analysis area is visible without presenting an unavailable result as live.
Interpretation note
Coming Soon: a governed benchmark or market-context data source has not been configured.

Tracking error

Coming Soon

Annualised variability of returns relative to the selected benchmark.

Formula or calculation
Not currently calculated. The formula will be published after the required data and method are governed.
Why it is useful
Listed in Reports so the planned analysis area is visible without presenting an unavailable result as live.
Interpretation note
Coming Soon: a governed benchmark or market-context data source has not been configured.

Active return

Coming Soon

The account return above or below the selected benchmark return.

Formula or calculation
Not currently calculated. The formula will be published after the required data and method are governed.
Why it is useful
Listed in Reports so the planned analysis area is visible without presenting an unavailable result as live.
Interpretation note
Coming Soon: a governed benchmark or market-context data source has not been configured.

Confidence & robustness

Uncertainty ranges around the observed trading edge.

Win rate confidence interval

Live

Win rate confidence interval gives an uncertainty range around the observed sample estimate.

Formula or calculation
Lower and upper percentiles from the approved bootstrap or statistical interval at the configured confidence level.
Why it is useful
Shows how much the metric could vary because the available trade or return sample is limited.
Interpretation note
The value can be unavailable when its denominator is zero or the eligible sample is too small. Compare the same account, period, timezone and filters.

Expectancy confidence interval

Coming Soon

Expectancy confidence interval gives an uncertainty range around the observed sample estimate.

Formula or calculation
Not currently calculated. The formula will be published after the required data and method are governed.
Why it is useful
Listed in Reports so the planned analysis area is visible without presenting an unavailable result as live.
Interpretation note
Coming Soon: the statistical interval convention has not yet been approved.

Profit factor confidence interval

Coming Soon

Profit factor confidence interval gives an uncertainty range around the observed sample estimate.

Formula or calculation
Not currently calculated. The formula will be published after the required data and method are governed.
Why it is useful
Listed in Reports so the planned analysis area is visible without presenting an unavailable result as live.
Interpretation note
Coming Soon: the statistical interval convention has not yet been approved.

Median trade return confidence interval

Coming Soon

Median trade return confidence interval gives an uncertainty range around the observed sample estimate.

Formula or calculation
Not currently calculated. The formula will be published after the required data and method are governed.
Why it is useful
Listed in Reports so the planned analysis area is visible without presenting an unavailable result as live.
Interpretation note
Coming Soon: the statistical interval convention has not yet been approved.

Return confidence interval

Live

Return confidence interval gives an uncertainty range around the observed sample estimate.

Formula or calculation
Lower and upper percentiles from the approved bootstrap or statistical interval at the configured confidence level.
Why it is useful
Shows how much the metric could vary because the available trade or return sample is limited.
Interpretation note
Requires sufficient account equity or periodic-return history. Some equity metrics are unavailable for portfolio scope or when trade-level filters would make the result inconsistent.

Minimum track record length

Live

The number of daily return observations required to support a Sharpe ratio above zero at 95% one-sided confidence.

Formula or calculation
1 + [1.64485 × square root of the Sharpe higher-moment sampling adjustment ÷ observed daily Sharpe]², rounded up.
Why it is useful
Shows whether the account has accumulated enough history for its observed risk-adjusted performance to be statistically persuasive.
Interpretation note
Calculated only from eligible imported observations in the selected account, period and filters; missing source data or an insufficient sample can make it unavailable.

Simulation & sizing

Modelled outcomes under explicit resampling and sizing assumptions.

Kelly criterion

Live

The theoretical capital fraction that maximises long-run logarithmic growth under a simplified repeated-bet model.

Formula or calculation
Win rate − (1 − win rate) ÷ payoff ratio.
Why it is useful
Provides an educational upper-bound sizing reference; it is not an automatic sizing recommendation.
Interpretation note
Calculated only from eligible imported observations in the selected account, period and filters; missing source data or an insufficient sample can make it unavailable.

Fractional Kelly criterion

Coming Soon

A deliberately reduced fraction of the theoretical Kelly sizing estimate.

Formula or calculation
Not currently calculated. The formula will be published after the required data and method are governed.
Why it is useful
Listed in Reports so the planned analysis area is visible without presenting an unavailable result as live.
Interpretation note
Coming Soon: the sizing or risk model has not yet been approved.

Estimated risk of ruin

Coming Soon

The modelled probability of breaching an explicitly selected ruin threshold.

Formula or calculation
Not currently calculated. The formula will be published after the required data and method are governed.
Why it is useful
Listed in Reports so the planned analysis area is visible without presenting an unavailable result as live.
Interpretation note
Coming Soon: the sizing or risk model has not yet been approved.

Monte Carlo probability of profit

Coming Soon

Monte Carlo probability of profit is a simulated outcome from many resampled paths of eligible historical returns.

Formula or calculation
Not currently calculated. The formula will be published after the required data and method are governed.
Why it is useful
Listed in Reports so the planned analysis area is visible without presenting an unavailable result as live.
Interpretation note
Coming Soon: the simulation and resampling policy has not yet been approved.

Monte Carlo median terminal return

Coming Soon

Monte Carlo median terminal return is a simulated outcome from many resampled paths of eligible historical returns.

Formula or calculation
Not currently calculated. The formula will be published after the required data and method are governed.
Why it is useful
Listed in Reports so the planned analysis area is visible without presenting an unavailable result as live.
Interpretation note
Coming Soon: the simulation and resampling policy has not yet been approved.

Monte Carlo 5th percentile terminal return

Coming Soon

Monte Carlo 5th percentile terminal return is a simulated outcome from many resampled paths of eligible historical returns.

Formula or calculation
Not currently calculated. The formula will be published after the required data and method are governed.
Why it is useful
Listed in Reports so the planned analysis area is visible without presenting an unavailable result as live.
Interpretation note
Coming Soon: the simulation and resampling policy has not yet been approved.

Monte Carlo median maximum drawdown

Coming Soon

Monte Carlo median maximum drawdown is a simulated outcome from many resampled paths of eligible historical returns.

Formula or calculation
Not currently calculated. The formula will be published after the required data and method are governed.
Why it is useful
Listed in Reports so the planned analysis area is visible without presenting an unavailable result as live.
Interpretation note
Coming Soon: the simulation and resampling policy has not yet been approved.

Monte Carlo 95th percentile maximum drawdown

Coming Soon

Monte Carlo 95th percentile maximum drawdown is a simulated outcome from many resampled paths of eligible historical returns.

Formula or calculation
Not currently calculated. The formula will be published after the required data and method are governed.
Why it is useful
Listed in Reports so the planned analysis area is visible without presenting an unavailable result as live.
Interpretation note
Coming Soon: the simulation and resampling policy has not yet been approved.

Monte Carlo median recovery time

Coming Soon

Monte Carlo median recovery time is a simulated outcome from many resampled paths of eligible historical returns.

Formula or calculation
Not currently calculated. The formula will be published after the required data and method are governed.
Why it is useful
Listed in Reports so the planned analysis area is visible without presenting an unavailable result as live.
Interpretation note
Coming Soon: the simulation and resampling policy has not yet been approved.

Metrics shared with another Reports category

These values also appear in this Reports tab. Their full definitions are maintained once so formulas and interpretation stay consistent.

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Advanced Trading Statistics and Ratios Explained | TraderWaves